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Since any given poker hand comes from a selection from a fifty-two card deck, the occurrence of any particular combination, while never certain, can be accurately described in probability terms. For this reason probability calculation does play a role in Poker, but its role is far less than it might be thought.

In basic terms, the probability of occurrence of a repeated event is the fraction of the trials in which it may be expected to occur. Although this may be expressed in different ways, the most common is to say that if there if there is one chance in five of an event occurring, the probability of this event is said to be 0.20, or 20%.

In a Poker context, it is best to think about the odds against an event occurring, for that, specifically, is what one compares to the pot odds facing a player.

In poker, there are probabilities you do have to estimate, but they are relatively few and relatively easy to estimate with sufficient accuracy to guide your behaviour. As a general rule, you need to know how many cards are left that can help you to get the winning hand, how many you have not seen (and thus are potentially available), and how many opportunities you have to get the cards you need.